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Forecast
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NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Watauga County)

Current Conditions
Valle Crucis

Temp: 16.4°F
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Valle Crucis , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, February 9, 2016 at 4:45PM

Light Snow Continues

Snow showers, light snow, and flurries continue tonight into most of Wednesday. The greater snow totals favor the higher, westward facing ridges near the TN line. Our thinking really hasn't changed in terms of snow amounts. A dusting to 1" for locations closest to and along the Blue Ridge with upwards of 12" for the highest ridges. See our Accumulations Graphic for details. We are beyond the halfway mark in terms of accumulations. Meaning, in the next 36 hours we are not going to double anymore than what's already on the ground as of Tuesday afternoon.

Light snow tapers to flurries Wednesday night with some sunshine returning Thursday and part of Friday. Friday is not as cold, but the one-day turn around is misleading as another arctic airmass arrives this weekend accompanied by more snow showers.

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Tuesday

Hi: 22 Lo: 14

Generally cloudy; Very cold; Snow showers; NW wind 10-20 mph gusting to 30
Wednesday

Hi: 22 Lo: 10

Lots of clouds; Snow showers & flurries; Frigid; NW wind 10-20 mph gusting to 35
Thursday

Hi: 24 Lo: 17

Maybe a few AM flurries; Partly sunny & very cold; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty in the AM
Friday

Hi: 36 Lo: 16

Early sun, then more clouds; Afternoon & nighttime show showers; Much colder Fri night
Saturday

Hi: 19 Lo: 2

Another brutal Arctic cold shot; Daytime snow showers tapering to flurries

Further Out

Sunday - Clearing skies; Bitterly cold; High near 20 degrees; Low near 10 degrees
Monday - Cloudy; Cold, but not like Sunday; Chance for snow; High in the lower 30s; Low in the lower 20s

Forecast Discussion

A sprawling upper level low centered over the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes keeps the northwest flow snow going... slowly but surely. Light snow and snow showers continue tonight and through the better part of Wednesday. Our thoughts for 3-day snow totals beginning Monday really hasn't changed. A dusting to 1" for eastern areas along the Blue Ridge, but closer to 10" for the highest ridges along the TN border.

Clouds decrease Thursday, but it remains cold. A quick "mild-up" occurs Friday before an ever stronger shot of Arctic air crashes through the mountains Friday night and Saturday. Snow showers return Friday afternoon and continues into Saturday morning. Saturday morning temperatures will be in the teens and falling in the afternoon.

Skies clear Sunday as Arctic high pressure takes the reigns for one day. The high slides east Monday allowing for a return of slightly milder air (milder relative to the upper teens for highs). Meanwhile, an area of low pressure develops in Texas and begins moving east. Our thinking for now: moisture returns ahead of the low in the form of snow Monday morning ending early Tuesday morning as the low moves east. This one bears a great deal of watching as temperatures will push the marginal category for an all-snow event.

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