Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, September 16, 2021 at 6:01PM

Lots of Clouds; A Few Showers

There will be lingering clouds this evening in a moist southerly flow with isolated showers possible. Friday through the weekend, we remain in very humid air by September standards. Expect lots of clouds, some early fog, and widely scattered showers and thundershowers mostly focused on the PM hours. Temperatures will be held in check by clouds. We'll have plenty of dry hours, but outdoor activities will need an eye to the sky.

I have been remiss in not mentioning the Mayview Madness 5K in Blowing Rock Saturday morning. I'll be there Saturday at 8 AM ready to "toe the line". Run, walk, jog (whatever you are up to) and support the Blue Ridge Conservancy in the process! It's always a fun event and a beautiful course.

After a 2.5 year wait, MerleFest.orgfinally here! Thursday, September 16, through Sunday, September 19, in Wilkesboro, NC. RaysWeather.Com is the official forecast source for the festival. Our Hour-by-Hour Forecast is now available. It will be updated daily from now through the end of Merlefest.

The 2022 Blue Ridge Calendar Pre-Publication Sale is underway. We sold out last year in early December. Reserve yours now at the lowest price--25% off when you buy at least 2 calendars plus free shipping for purchases of 10 calendars or more. The calendars are being printed now and will arrive in a couple weeks. We'll begin shipping around September 24. The Pre-Publication Sale ends September 22. See RaysMarketplace.Com for details and to purchase calendars. Like last year, a portion of every sale goes to the Blue Ridge Conservancy.

Thursday Hi: 73 Lo: 57 Lots of clouds with fog late; A shower possible; Light SE wind

Friday Hi: 72 Lo: 56 Lots of clouds with AM fog; Widely scattered showers mostly in the PM (thunder possible); Light SE wind

Saturday Hi: 77 Lo: 57 Mostly cloudy with some early fog; Widely scattered showers and thundershowers, mostly in the PM; Light South wind

Sunday Hi: 77 Lo: 59 Partly to mostly cloudy; Widely scattered, mostly PM showers and thundershowers

Monday Hi: 73 Lo: 57 Some afternoon cloudiness; Isolated PM t-showers

Further Out

Tuesday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Isolated afternoon showers and t-showers, increasing t-shower coverage Tue. night; High in the lower 70s; Low in the mid 50s
Wednesday - Generally cloudy; Scattered showers and t-showers, especially in the PM hours; High in the lower 70s; Low in the lower 50s

Forecast Discussion

Tropical lows remain too far away to directly affect our weather (Louisiana and off the Carolina Coast). We are in a humid southerly flow with no good triggering mechanism for rain. The result will be lots of clouds through the weekend with early fog Friday and Saturday. Each day will have widely scattered showers and thundershowers. Friday through Sunday, the focus for shower potential will be in the PM hours.

None of the active tropical systems directly affect our weather in the next seven days, but here's the current situation. The remnant of Tropical Storm Nicholas is raining itself out in Louisiana. A tropical low is strengthening north of the Bahamas as it moves north. It will stay off the Carolina coast and remain offshore as it turns NE and follows a track parallel to the North American Coast. Another strengthening system is about halfway between Africa and the Eastern Caribbean. It continues a westerly course and will be near the northeast Caribbean in 5 days. Both of these strengthening system probably become named tropical storms in the next 48 hours. The next two storm names are Odette and Peter. To complete the story, a new tropical wave has just moved into the Atlantic from the West African Coast.

We have not seen a front in over a week and won't until at least the middle of next week. A front may make it through here Wednesday night. With that as the tentative forecast plan, Monday and Tuesday will be slightly drier as high pressure gets tenuous control of our weather. Then Tuesday night and Wednesday have an increase in clouds and shower/thundershower coverage ahead of the front.

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