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NWS Special Weather Statement (Watauga County)

Current Conditions

Temp: 63.2°F

Forecast Last Updated at Monday, July 6, 2015 at 6:54AM

Transition to Warmer/Drier

Our break from above-average temperatures continues today, but it's coming to an end this week as we transition to warmer weather tomorrow and even warmer weather later this week. As temperatures warm, thundershower coverage will generally decrease. Today and Wednesday have scattered coverage of showers and thundershowers; otherwise, we are headed into generally drier weather.

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Hi: 76 Lo: 60

Mostly to partly cloudy; Scattered daytime showers & t-showers; West wind 5-10 mph becoming light

Hi: 80 Lo: 63

More sunshine; Cannot rule out a late-day t-shower; Warmer; NW wind 5-10 mph

Hi: 80 Lo: 63

Partly sunny; Risk for PM thunder; West wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 82 Lo: 65

Partly sunny; Cannot rule out an afternoon t-shower; Warm

Hi: 82 Lo: 65

Scattered clouds; Isolated PM t-showers; Warm

Further Out

Saturday - Partly sunny; Slightest chance of an afternoon t-shower; Warmest day of the week; High in the lower 80s; Low in the mid 60s
Sunday - Scattered clouds; Cannot rule out an afternoon t-shower; High in the lower 80s; Low in the lower 60s

Forecast Discussion

Late-June, the weather pattern transitioned to a trough in the Eastern U. S. and a ridge in the West. This week, we return to a more typical Southeastern Ridge/Bermuda High look to the map. The result is that warmer, drier weather is coming after today.

Today, an upper-level disturbance exits via Virginia to the northeast. The front that has been nearby for several days exits to the northeast as a warm front as well. Today has lots of clouds and scattered to widely scattered showers and thundershowers. Expect less rain coverage today than in previous days. In the Southern Appalachians, Ashe and Alleghany County, NC, and SW VA has better chances for an afternoon thundershower than points to the south.

Tuesday has more sunshine with warmer temperatures and less rain. We left on a "cannot rule out" mention of afternoon thunder--the vast majority of the region will be dry.

Wednesday, a front will approach from the northwest increasing coverage of afternoon and evening thundershowers--back to scattered or widely scattered.

The front fails to reach us, sliding by to the north. Instead, heat builds in the Southeast and Middle of the country. Temperatures go back to above-average levels Thursday and remain there for the foreseeable future. Afternoon/nighttime convection coverage goes to "isolated" at most.


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