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Current Conditions

Temp: 75.4°F

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, May 27, 2016 at 12:34PM

Tropical Trouble Looks Less Likely

Summer-like weather continues as showers and t-showers will pop during the afternoon hours. By late afternoon most of the activity should drift over into eastern Tennessee. Saturday looks like the best day if you have outside activities that require zero chance of rain. After that, shower and t-shower chances pick up for Sunday and Monday, but only marginally. It’s looking mainly dry, especially for Memorial Day, as the tropical system is expected to hug the coast. Isolated t-showers and warm weather thereafter into mid-week.

RelayWithRay.Com concludes along the Virginia segment of the Blue Ridge Parkway today and crosses into North Carolina! You can follow Ray’s daily blog posts at relaywithray.com/blog/


Hi: 77 Lo: 56

Partly cloudy; Widely scattered PM showers and t-showers; Warm weather continues; South wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 79 Lo: 53

Increasing high clouds & very warm; SE wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 75 Lo: 54

A mix of sun and clouds; Isolated showers and t-showers; South wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 76 Lo: 55

More sun than clouds; Cannot rule out a shower or t-shower

Hi: 77 Lo: 57

Mostly sunny; Just one or two stray showers & t-showers

Further Out

Wednesday - Scattered clouds; Isolated shower or t-shower; High in the upper 70s; Low in the mid 50s
Thursday - More clouds; Better chances of showers & t-showers; High in the mid 70s; Low in the mid 50s

Forecast Discussion

Scattered showers and t-showers are expected over the High Country again this afternoon, though they should largely drift into eastern Tennessee by late afternoon. Dry air on the periphery of the tropical system will help stifle showers and storms on Saturday, giving us a dry day, though high clouds will increase from the east.

By Sunday the tropical or subtropical system is expected to stall near the SC coast, then turn to the NE, paralleling the NC coast on Monday. This kid of track generally is a dry one for the mountains. Certainly clouds and a few showers will be around on Sunday, but activity should be limited. And on Monday we’ll have mainly dry and warm weather. We’ll keep “cannot rule out” wording, but nothing more. The same holds true for Tuesday with a gradual increase in shower chances by later in the week.

The tropical system developing along the southeast coast will be investigated by Hurricane Hunter aircraft today. If this system is named, it will called “Bonnie”. Also, while confidence is good in this forecast, there are still a couple computer models that want to bring the low farther inland and stall it out closer to the mountains. That would be a real mess for us. Chances of this are low, but they aren’t zero.


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